Pushed towards Risk

Earlier this week European leaders crossed the Rubicon and agreed an unprecedented economic programme. The EU have agreed a deal on a €750bn recovery fund to address Covid-19 damage; importantly, all raised by issuing EU common bonds for the first time. The issuance of these bonds will enhance the trading bloc’s financial autonomy from the US, furthering its potential role as a reserve currency.

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A time for patience

When the famous Russian author, Leo Tolstoy, wrote, ‘The two most powerful warriors are patience and time’, he could not have foreseen how perfectly it would sum
up today’s global predicament.

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Can investors trust the media?

Investors are swamped with tips in newspapers, on television and online, but are media pundits worth their salt? The media has always fed off individuals’ insatiable appetite to take a punt on the stock market – offering ‘expert’ tips and forecasts in a bid to sell newspapers to investors or direct eyeballs to a television show or website. There is little doubt these forecasts are highly influential.

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The winners and losers from Covid-19

Almost every business around the world is affected by Covid-19 in one way or another. While some have been forced to completely close, others have welcomed a tsunami of new customers that had not even heard of their product a matter of weeks before the crisis hit

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INVESTMENT STRATEGY Q1 | 2020

The question of whether the market contraction offers a great entry point into equities depends on one’s view of the economic impact that Covid-19 will have and whether any of that impact will be permanent

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Equity markets bounce back as they weigh up the future

If there is one thing equity markets are good at, it’s being able to see beyond the here and now. Which explains why markets crashed well before cases of Covid-19 had peaked in Europe and the US. Investors extrapolated what could happen, but were unable to assess the impact, hence the panic and subsequent sell-off. Now markets are calmer as they look beyond the immediate impact of Covid-19 and can model the likely range of outcomes.

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