Waiting out the storm

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Waiting out the Storm

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The Noise

  • For the first time in history, the price of gold topped $2,000 an ounce as investors continue to look to the safe haven metal amid the pandemic. The gold rush continues as the US prints money at an aggressive rate, instigating fears amongst investors that the reserve currency status of the dollar might be under threat.
  • An explosion at a warehouse in the Lebanese capital of Beirut has killed at least 137 people and injured more than 5,000 others. The blast was caused by 2,750 tonnes of ammonium nitrate being stored unsafely, spurring many to accuse the authorities of corruption, neglect and mismanagement. A two-week state of emergency has begun.
  • The Bank of England has revised its previously optimistic forecasts, announcing on Thursday that new forecasts show a slower return to pre-pandemic levels. The Bank’s central forecast shows GDP more than 5% below pre-crisis levels at the end of this year, only returning to those levels at the end of 2020. It caveated this by stressing that there were significant downside risks to their forecast.

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The Numbers

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The Nuance

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Markets have seen large movements in all directions over recent months, affecting equities, fixed income, currencies and commodities. Against this turbulent backdrop, there is a lot of waiting that investors need to do.

The Bank of England’s announcement yesterday exemplifies the struggles economies are still dealing with; a recovery by 2021 seems optimistic. This sentiment has been echoed by most of the individual company news of the last few weeks. It’s going to take time for things to recover.

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As economies sputter along, gently pushing back towards pre-pandemic levels, corporate earnings will remain dampened. Investors will need to wait patiently for them to restore. Ultimately, patience is a skill all investors must master; allowing time for good decisions to come to fruition is an important part of successfully managing a portfolio.

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Quote of the Week

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“Aliens built the pyramids obv”

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Egyptian experts have hit back at Elon Musk after the SpaceX founder tweeted that aliens “obv” built the pyramids. Egypt’s minister of international co-operation, Rania al Mashat, has invited Musk to visitthe tombs of the pyramid builders to see for himself. “I follow your work with a lot of admiration. I invite you and Space X to explore the writings about how the pyramids were built and also to check out the tombs of the pyramid builders. Mr. Musk, we are waiting for you.” she said. Maybe there is an ulterior motive behind Musk’s founding of SpaceX…

Source: news.sky.com

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If you require assistance on any ethical and/or fraud issue which may have arisen pursuant to your interaction with Sanlam Private Wealth Mauritius Ltd, please contact the Sanlam Fraud and Ethics Hotline at +27 12 543 5324 which hotline is operated by an independent third party and guarantees anonymity. If you are unable to call the hotline you may send an e-mail to sanlamfraud@kpmg.co.za or submit a report online at www.thornhill.co.za.

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